Where the market is wrong on Cordoba v Girona
Cordoba meet Girona in the Segunda División regular season - 2 at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Cordoba.
Cordoba rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Cordoba, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Cordoba on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Cordoba at 53%; double chance reads Cordoba or draw 67%, Girona or draw 64%.
Cordoba arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Girona, L 2-3 @ Burgos, L 0-4 v Almeria, W 2-1 @ Real Jaén.
Girona are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cordoba, D 1-1 v Leganes, D 1-1 @ Gimnastic, D 2-2 v Sabadell.
Cordoba hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cordoba 2-1 Girona.
The market prices COR at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
