Where the market is wrong on Star Starachowice v Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Star Starachowice meet Siarka Tarnobrzeg in the III Liga - Group 4 group iv - 10.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors Siarka Tarnobrzeg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Star Starachowice arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Siarka Tarnobrzeg, D 0-0 @ KS Wieczysta Krakow II, L 2-3 v Wisłoka Dębica, D 0-0 @ Sokół Kolb..
Siarka Tarnobrzeg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Star Starachowice, W 2-0 v Podlasie Biała Podlaska, D 1-1 @ Chełmianka Chełm, W 2-0 @ KS Wieczysta Krakow II.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Star Starachowice 4-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
The market prices STA at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
