Heimstetten v TuS Geretsried: the model read
Heimstetten meet TuS Geretsried in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd bayern süd - 3. The model makes Heimstetten the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% HEI, 28% draw, 34% TUS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Heimstetten on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Heimstetten at 52%; double chance reads Heimstetten or draw 66%, TuS Geretsried or draw 63%.
Heimstetten arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Sportfreunde Schwaig, L 2-3 @ Pipinsried, D 1-1 v Sturm Hauzenberg, L 2-5 @ Landsberg.
TuS Geretsried are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v Pipinsried, L 1-5 @ 1860 München II, W 4-1 v Nordlingen, W 4-1 @ Sturm Hauzenberg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
