Where the market is wrong on FC Voluntari v Uta Arad
FC Voluntari meet Uta Arad in the Liga I regular season - 3 at Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu, Voluntari. The model makes FC Voluntari the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% FC , 29% draw, 34% UTA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors FC Voluntari on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans FC Voluntari at 53%; double chance reads FC Voluntari or draw 66%, Uta Arad or draw 62%.
FC Voluntari arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ CFR 1907 Cluj, D 2-2 v FC Botosani, W 3-0 v Farul Constanta, L 1-2 @ NK Varazdin.
Uta Arad are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Oţelul, L 0-4 @ Universitatea Craiova, D 2-2 @ Istra 1961, W 4-0 v Dumbrăviţa.
Uta Arad hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Uta Arad 4-3 FC Voluntari.
The market prices FC at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Voluntari: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
