Where the market is wrong on Strabane Athletic v Armagh City
Strabane Athletic meet Armagh City in the Championship regular season - 10.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Strabane Athletic, 42% against 23%. Attacking output favors Strabane Athletic on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.6 per match.
Strabane Athletic arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Armagh City, W 1-0 @ Ards, D 1-1 @ Dundela, D 2-2 v Newry City AFC.
Armagh City are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Strabane Athletic, L 0-2 v Dundela, D 0-0 @ Loughgall, L 3-5 v Institute.
The market prices STR at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
