Where the market is wrong on Austria Vienna v WSG Wattens
Austria Vienna meet WSG Wattens in the Bundesliga regular season - 4 at Generali Arena, Vienna.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Austria Vienna, 55% against 39%. Attacking output favors WSG Wattens on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Austria Vienna arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Red Bull Salzburg, D 0-0 v SC Braga, L 0-2 @ SC Braga, W 2-0 @ TSV Hartberg.
WSG Wattens are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Austria Lustenau, L 0-3 v Red Bull Salzburg, L 1-3 @ SCR Altach, D 1-1 v Sturm Graz.
The market prices AUS at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on WSG Wattens: a 7.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
