Where the market is wrong on FC Krasnodar v Zenit
FC Krasnodar meet Zenit in the Premier League regular season - 10 at Ozon Arena, Krasnodar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 73%. Attacking output favors Zenit on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
FC Krasnodar arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FC Orenburg, D 1-1 v Akron, D 2-2 @ Krylia Sovetov, D 1-1 @ Fakel.
Zenit are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Shanghai Shenhua, W 3-2 @ Baltika, W 2-1 v Lokomotiv, L 1-2 v CSKA Moscow.
Zenit hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zenit 1-1 FC Krasnodar.
The market prices FC at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
