Where the market is wrong on Akron v CSKA Moscow
Akron meet CSKA Moscow in the Premier League regular season - 6 at Samara Arena, Samara.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CSKA Moscow, 47% against 35%. Attacking output favors CSKA Moscow on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans CSKA Moscow at 56%; double chance reads Akron or draw 61%, CSKA Moscow or draw 69%.
Akron arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v CSKA Moscow, L 0-3 v Krylia Sovetov, W 1-0 @ CSKA Moscow, D 3-3 @ Rodina Moskva.
CSKA Moscow are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Akron, W 3-2 v Lokomotiv, L 0-1 v Akron, W 1-0 v Fakel.
The market prices AKR at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Akron: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
