Where the market is wrong on Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Warta Poznań in the I Liga regular season - 7 at Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 39%. Attacking output favors Warta Poznań on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Warta Poznań, L 1-3 @ Podhale Nowy Targ, D 2-2 v Nieciecza, D 2-2 @ Polonia Bytom.
Warta Poznań are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, L 1-2 @ Miedz Legnica, W 1-0 @ Chrobry Głogów, L 1-3 @ Odra Opole.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1-0 Warta Poznań.
The market prices POG at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
