Aluminij v Nafta: the model read
Aluminij meet Nafta in the 1. SNL regular season - 4 at Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo. The model makes Nafta the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 23% ALU, 32% draw, 44% NAF.
Nafta rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1405. Recent form leans Nafta, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Nafta on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Nafta at 66%; double chance reads Aluminij or draw 56%, Nafta or draw 77%.
Aluminij arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Dinamo Tirana, D 0-0 v Maribor, L 0-1 v Sheriff Tiraspol, D 0-0 @ Sheriff Tiraspol.
Nafta are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Bravo, L 0-2 v Koper, L 1-4 v FK Partizan, L 0-3 v Budapest Honved.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Aluminij 1-1 Nafta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
