Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd: the model read
Kilmarnock meet Dundee Utd in the Premiership regular season - 4 at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Kilmarnock rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans Kilmarnock, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Kilmarnock on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Kilmarnock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Dundee Utd, W 3-2 v Ayr Utd, L 1-5 v Celtic, L 3-4 @ ST Johnstone.
Dundee Utd are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Kilmarnock, L 0-2 v Dundee, L 0-4 v Celtic, L 0-4 @ Heart Of Midlothian.
The market prices KIL at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Kilmarnock: a 1.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
