Where the market is wrong on Rangers v ST Mirren
Rangers meet ST Mirren in the Premiership regular season - 3 at Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 58%. Attacking output favors Rangers on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Rangers at 52%; double chance reads Rangers or draw 65%, ST Mirren or draw 63%.
Rangers arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ FK Jablonec, W 1-0 v FK Jablonec, W 5-1 v ST Mirren, D 1-1 v Jagiellonia.
ST Mirren are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Rangers, W 1-0 v ST Johnstone, W 2-0 @ Falkirk, L 0-1 v Dunfermline.
The market prices RAN at 72% implied. Our number sits apart on ST Mirren: a 24.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
