Dainava v Tauras

Dainava meet Tauras in the 1 Lyga regular season - 18. The model makes Dainava the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% DAI, 29% draw, 33% TAU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 68%. Attacking output favors Tauras on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Dainava at 53%; double chance reads Dainava or draw 67%, Tauras or draw 63%.

Dainava arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Transinvest 2, W 1-0 v Neptūną Klaipėda, D 1-1 v TransINVEST Vilnius, W 5-0 v FA Šiauliai II.

Tauras are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Kauno Žalgiris II, W 3-1 v FA Šiauliai II, W 3-1 @ FA Šiauliai II, W 1-0 @ Transinvest 2.

Dainava hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tauras 2-1 Dainava.

The market prices DAI at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.