Shimizu S-pulse v FC Tokyo: the model read
Shimizu S-pulse meet FC Tokyo in the J1 League regular season - 5 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka. The model makes FC Tokyo the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% SHI, 31% draw, 40% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Tokyo, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors FC Tokyo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans FC Tokyo at 58%; double chance reads Shimizu S-pulse or draw 60%, FC Tokyo or draw 71%.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Karlsruher SC, W 3-1 @ Polessya, L 0-3 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, D 1-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos.
FC Tokyo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Nagoya Grampus, L 1-3 v Cerezo Osaka, D 2-2 @ Cerezo Osaka, L 0-1 @ Kashima.
FC Tokyo hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 FC Tokyo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
