Where the market is wrong on Avispa Fukuoka v Urawa
Avispa Fukuoka meet Urawa in the J1 League regular season - 5 at Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors Urawa on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Avispa Fukuoka arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Urawa, L 1-2 @ Kyoto Sanga, D 0-0 v Verspah Oita, L 2-3 @ Kashima.
Urawa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Avispa Fukuoka, W 3-2 v Yokohama F. Marinos, W 3-0 v Yamanashi Gakuin, L 1-3 @ Machida Zelvia.
Avispa Fukuoka hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Avispa Fukuoka 2-3 Urawa.
The market prices AVI at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Urawa: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
