Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S-pulse: the model read
Cerezo Osaka meet Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League regular season - 3 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka.
Cerezo Osaka rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans Cerezo Osaka, 68% against 48%. Attacking output favors Cerezo Osaka on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Cerezo Osaka at 59%; double chance reads Cerezo Osaka or draw 71%, Shimizu S-pulse or draw 59%.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v FC Gifu, W 1-0 v Shimizu S-pulse, L 0-3 @ Avispa Fukuoka, W 2-1 v Fagiano Okayama.
Shimizu S-pulse are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Osaka, L 0-1 @ Cerezo Osaka, L 0-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos, W 1-0 @ Nagoya Grampus.
Cerezo Osaka hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse.
The market prices CER at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Cerezo Osaka: a 1.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
