Where the market is wrong on Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa v Hapoel Acre
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa meet Hapoel Acre in the Liga Leumit regular season - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Hapoel Acre, L 1-3 @ Hapoel Kfar Shalem, L 0-2 v Maccabi Bnei Raina, L 1-3 v Hapoel Ra'anana.
Hapoel Acre are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 0 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, L 0-3 v Hapoel Afula, L 0-1 @ Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, L 0-4 v Ashdod.
The market prices MAC at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
