Where the market is wrong on Hapoel Afula v Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Afula meet Hapoel Rishon LeZion in the Liga Leumit regular season - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hapoel Afula, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Hapoel Afula on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Hapoel Afula arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Hapoel Rishon LeZion, W 3-0 @ Hapoel Acre, D 3-3 v Hapoel Kfar Shalem, L 2-4 @ Maccabi Bnei Raina.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Hapoel Afula, W 1-0 v Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, L 2-3 @ Ashdod, W 4-2 v Kiryat Yam SC.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hapoel Afula 2-2 Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
The market prices HAP at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Hapoel Afula: a 9.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
