Where the market is wrong on Bnei Yehuda v Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Bnei Yehuda meet Hapoel Kfar Shalem in the Liga Leumit regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bnei Yehuda, 70% against 55%. Attacking output favors Hapoel Kfar Shalem on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Bnei Yehuda at 58%; double chance reads Bnei Yehuda or draw 70%, Hapoel Kfar Shalem or draw 58%.
Bnei Yehuda arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Hapoel Kfar Shalem, W 4-1 @ Maccabi Bnei Raina, D 1-1 @ Hapoel Petah Tikva, D 2-2 v Hapoel Katamon.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Bnei Yehuda, W 2-0 v Kafr Qasim, W 6-2 @ Hapoel Rishon LeZion, W 2-1 v Kiryat Yam SC.
Bnei Yehuda hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bnei Yehuda 3-1 Hapoel Kfar Shalem.
The market prices BNE at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Hapoel Kfar Shalem: a 9.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
