Metalac GM v Grafičar: the model read
Metalac GM meet Grafičar in the Prva Liga regular season - 10 at Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Metalac GM, 55% against 34%. Attacking output favors Metalac GM on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Metalac GM arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grafičar, W 2-1 @ Borac Cacak, W 5-0 v Dubočica, D 0-0 @ Naftagas.
Grafičar are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Metalac GM, W 3-0 v OFK Bor 1919, L 1-4 @ OFK Vršac, L 1-2 @ Borac Cacak.
Grafičar hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Metalac GM 1-0 Grafičar.
The market prices MET at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Metalac GM: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
