Peña Deportiva v Arenas Armilla: the model read
Peña Deportiva meet Arenas Armilla in the Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs promotion play-offs - 1. The model makes Peña Deportiva the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% PEÑ, 30% draw, 28% ARE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Peña Deportiva, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Peña Deportiva on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Peña Deportiva at 59%; double chance reads Peña Deportiva or draw 72%, Arenas Armilla or draw 58%.
Peña Deportiva arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Arenas Armilla, D 1-1 @ Arenas Armilla, W 3-1 @ Manacor, W 2-1 v Manacor.
Arenas Armilla are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Peña Deportiva, D 1-1 v Peña Deportiva, D 1-1 @ Motril, W 1-0 v Motril.
Peña Deportiva hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Peña Deportiva 5-2 Arenas Armilla.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
