Where the market is wrong on Ohrid v Kozuv Gevgelija
Ohrid meet Kozuv Gevgelija in the Second League regular season - 3.
Ohrid rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1492. Recent form leans Ohrid, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ohrid on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.8 per match.
Ohrid arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Kozuv Gevgelija, W 2-1 v Novaci, W 1-0 v Novaci, W 7-1 v Sloga Vinica.
Kozuv Gevgelija are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Ohrid, W 2-0 v Shkupi 1927, L 0-3 @ FK Rabotnicki, L 0-1 v Detonit Plachkovica.
Ohrid hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ohrid 5-1 Kozuv Gevgelija.
The market prices OHR at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on Kozuv Gevgelija: a 10.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
