Where the market is wrong on Lyon v Le Havre
Lyon meet Le Havre in the Ligue 1 regular season - 2 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon.
Lyon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Lyon, 57% against 37%. Attacking output favors Lyon on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Lyon arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Le Havre, L 1-2 v Fenerbahçe, W 2-0 @ Toulouse, D 1-1 @ Fenerbahçe.
Le Havre are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Lyon, L 0-1 v Monaco, W 1-0 @ Le Mans, L 2-3 @ Oviedo.
Lyon hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lyon 1-1 Le Havre.
The market prices LYO at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Le Havre: a 14.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
