Where the market is wrong on Reims v Guingamp
Reims meet Guingamp in the Ligue 2 regular season - 5 at Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims.
Reims rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Reims, 63% against 30%. Attacking output favors Reims on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Reims arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ RED Star FC 93, W 3-1 v Annecy, D 3-3 v Dunkerque, D 0-0 @ Clermont Foot.
Guingamp are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Nantes, L 0-1 @ Sochaux, W 1-0 v Boulogne, L 1-2 @ Metz.
The market prices REI at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
