Fortuna Sittard v AZ Alkmaar: the model read
Fortuna Sittard meet AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie regular season - 3 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard. The model makes AZ Alkmaar the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 25% FOR, 26% draw, 48% AZ .
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AZ Alkmaar, 61% against 43%. Attacking output favors AZ Alkmaar on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans AZ Alkmaar at 66%; double chance reads Fortuna Sittard or draw 52%, AZ Alkmaar or draw 75%.
Fortuna Sittard arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Olympiakos Piraeus, W 2-1 v Genk, W 1-0 v K. Lierse S.K., L 0-2 @ Utrecht.
AZ Alkmaar are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Genk, D 1-1 @ Zulte Waregem, L 0-1 v Anderlecht, W 2-1 v Almere City FC.
AZ Alkmaar hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Fortuna Sittard.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
