Roda v Jong AZ: the model read
Roda meet Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 13 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade. The model makes Roda the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% ROD, 28% draw, 31% JON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 47%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Roda at 57%; double chance reads Roda or draw 69%, Jong AZ or draw 60%.
Roda arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beerschot VA, L 1-2 @ Cambuur, D 1-1 @ Vitesse, W 10-0 @ Chevremont.
Jong AZ are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Jong Ajax, W 3-1 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 @ Waalwijk, W 2-0 v Roda.
Jong AZ hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jong AZ 2-0 Roda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
