Where the market is wrong on Jong PSV U21 v Den Bosch
Jong PSV U21 meet Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 5 at De Herdgang, Eindhoven.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Den Bosch on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Jong PSV U21 arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Den Bosch, D 1-1 v Jong Ajax, D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, W 1-0 v FC OSS.
Den Bosch are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Jong PSV U21, L 1-4 v Vitesse, W 5-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 2-3 @ Heracles.
Den Bosch hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jong PSV U21 3-1 Den Bosch.
The market prices JON at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Den Bosch: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
