Dordrecht v Roda: the model read
Dordrecht meet Roda in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 3 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht. The model makes Roda the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% DOR, 29% draw, 40% ROD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Roda on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Roda at 56%; double chance reads Dordrecht or draw 60%, Roda or draw 69%.
Dordrecht arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Lusail City, W 4-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-2 v Excelsior, L 0-6 v Feyenoord.
Roda are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beerschot VA, L 1-2 @ Cambuur, D 1-1 @ Vitesse, W 10-0 @ Chevremont.
Roda hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dordrecht 0-3 Roda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
