Septemvri Sofia v Botev Vratsa: the model read
Septemvri Sofia meet Botev Vratsa in the First League regular season - 8 at Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 58%. Attacking output favors Botev Vratsa on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Septemvri Sofia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Botev Vratsa, D 1-1 @ Slavia Sofia, W 1-0 v CSKA 1948, W 1-0 @ Spartak Varna.
Botev Vratsa are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Septemvri Sofia, L 0-2 @ Arda Kardzhali, W 1-0 v Botev Plovdiv, L 0-5 @ CSKA Sofia.
The market prices SEP at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Botev Vratsa: a 1.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
