Where the market is wrong on Atlas v Atlante FC
Atlas meet Atlante FC in the Liga MX apertura - 7 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 43%. Attacking output favors Atlante FC on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Atlas arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Club Queretaro, W 2-0 @ Cruz Azul, W 2-1 v Tigres UANL, W 2-1 @ FC Cincinnati.
Atlante FC are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Leon, L 0-2 @ Tigres UANL, D 0-0 v Toluca, L 1-3 @ Minnesota United FC.
The market prices ATL at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Atlante FC: a 9.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
