Where the market is wrong on Atlas v Club Queretaro
Atlas meet Club Queretaro in the Liga MX apertura - 6 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Club Queretaro, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors Club Queretaro on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Atlas arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Club Queretaro, W 2-0 @ Cruz Azul, W 2-1 v Tigres UANL, W 2-1 @ FC Cincinnati.
Club Queretaro are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Atlas, L 1-2 v Toluca, D 0-0 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas, D 1-1 @ Los Angeles FC.
Atlas hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlas 1-3 Club Queretaro.
The market prices ATL at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Club Queretaro: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
