SpVgg Greuther Fürth v VfL Bochum: the model read
SpVgg Greuther Fürth meet VfL Bochum in the DFB Pokal round of 64 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans VfL Bochum, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors SpVgg Greuther Fürth on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 51%; double chance reads SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw 66%, VfL Bochum or draw 64%.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v VfL Bochum, L 2-4 v 1. FC Nürnberg, D 1-1 @ FC St. Pauli, W 3-2 @ FC Zurich.
VfL Bochum are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ SpVgg Greuther Fürth, W 1-0 @ Eintracht Braunschweig, L 0-1 v Hertha BSC, D 0-0 v Sheffield Utd.
VfL Bochum hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL Bochum.
The market prices SPV at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
