Deportivo Pasto v Once Caldas: the model read
Deportivo Pasto meet Once Caldas in the Primera A clausura - 11 at Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto.
Once Caldas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Once Caldas, 57% against 33%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Deportivo Pasto arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Once Caldas, W 1-0 @ America de Cali, L 1-4 v Independiente Medellin, D 2-2 @ Cucuta.
Once Caldas are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Deportivo Pasto, W 1-0 v Deportes Tolima, L 1-2 v Deportivo Cali, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar.
The market prices DEP at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
