Where the market is wrong on Envigado v Orsomarso
Envigado meet Orsomarso in the Primera B clausura - 7 at Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Envigado on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Envigado arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Orsomarso, W 3-0 v Depor FC, D 0-0 @ Real Cartagena, D 1-1 v Leones FC.
Orsomarso are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Envigado, L 3-4 @ Ind. Yumbo, D 0-0 @ Real Santander, L 0-2 v Depor FC.
The market prices ENV at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Orsomarso: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
