Orsomarso v Barranquilla

Orsomarso meet Barranquilla in the Primera B clausura - 1 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja. The model makes Barranquilla the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% ORS, 33% draw, 37% BAR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Barranquilla on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Barranquilla at 55%; double chance reads Orsomarso or draw 63%, Barranquilla or draw 70%.

Orsomarso arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-2 @ Leones FC, D 1-1 v Cucuta.

Barranquilla are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Junior, L 1-2 @ Real Cartagena, D 1-1 v Union Magdalena, D 1-1 @ Bogota FC.

Barranquilla hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Barranquilla 1-2 Orsomarso.

The market prices ORS at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Barranquilla: a 12.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.