Airdrie United v Ross County

Airdrie United meet Ross County in the League Cup group stage at Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie. The model makes Ross County the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 25% AIR, 27% draw, 47% ROS.

Ross County rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Ross County, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Ross County on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Ross County at 65%; double chance reads Airdrie United or draw 53%, Ross County or draw 75%.

Airdrie United arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Ross County, W 3-0 v Annan Athletic, L 0-1 @ Clyde, L 2-4 @ Dundee.

Ross County are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Airdrie United, D 1-1 v Dundee, W 3-1 v Clyde, D 2-2 @ Nairn County.

Ross County hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Airdrie United 0-3 Ross County.

The market prices AIR at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.