TunisiaUganda v Tunisia: the model read
Uganda meet Tunisia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1563 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Uganda, 56% against 45%. Attacking output favors Uganda on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Uganda arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Nigeria, D 1-1 v Tanzania, L 1-3 @ Tunisia, L 0-4 @ Morocco.
Tunisia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.
Tunisia hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Tunisia 3-1 Uganda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
