Madagascar v Nigeria: the model read
Madagascar meet Nigeria in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 5.
Nigeria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1528. Recent form leans Nigeria, 74% against 53%. Attacking output favors Nigeria on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.
Madagascar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Morocco, D 1-1 @ Equatorial Guinea, W 5-2 @ Kyrgyzstan, W 2-0 v Equatorial Guinea.
Nigeria are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, D 2-2 @ Poland, W 3-0 @ Jamaica, W 2-0 v Zimbabwe.
Madagascar hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Madagascar 2-0 Nigeria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
