ScotlandSlovenia v Scotland: the model read
Slovenia meet Scotland in the UEFA Nations League 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Scotland, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Scotland on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Slovenia arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Croatia, D 1-1 v Cyprus, W 3-2 @ Montenegro, L 0-1 @ Hungary.
Scotland are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Brazil, L 0-1 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Haiti, W 4-0 @ Bolivia.
Scotland hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2017: Slovenia 2-2 Scotland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
