Quindio v Deportes Tolima: the model read
Quindio meet Deportes Tolima in the Copa Colombia play-offs at Estadio Centenario, Armenia. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% QUI, 34% draw, 34% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Deportes Tolima on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Deportes Tolima at 51%; double chance reads Quindio or draw 66%, Deportes Tolima or draw 68%.
Quindio arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Popayan, L 1-2 @ Deportes Tolima, L 0-1 @ Envigado, L 0-1 v Internacional Palmira.
Deportes Tolima are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Quindio, D 0-0 @ Universitario, L 1-3 @ Atletico Nacional, L 0-3 @ Coquimbo Unido.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 2-1 Quindio.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
