Waalwijk v Roda: the model read
Waalwijk meet Roda in the Eerste Divisie round of 16 at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk. The model makes Waalwijk the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% WAA, 30% draw, 35% ROD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Waalwijk at 50%; double chance reads Waalwijk or draw 65%, Roda or draw 65%.
Waalwijk arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
Roda are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beerschot VA, L 1-2 @ Cambuur, D 1-1 @ Vitesse, W 10-0 @ Chevremont.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Waalwijk 1-1 Roda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
