Confiança v Fortaleza EC: the model read
Confiança meet Fortaleza EC in the Copa do Nordeste quarter-finals. The model makes Fortaleza EC the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 25% CON, 34% draw, 41% FOR.
Fortaleza EC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Fortaleza EC, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Fortaleza EC on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Fortaleza EC at 62%; double chance reads Confiança or draw 59%, Fortaleza EC or draw 75%.
Confiança arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v AO Itabaiana, L 0-2 @ Botafogo PB, L 1-2 v Barra, D 1-1 @ Ypiranga-RS.
Fortaleza EC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Vila Nova, W 1-0 v Novorizontino, L 0-1 @ Atletico Goianiense, W 2-0 v Ponte Preta.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Confiança 1-2 Fortaleza EC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
