Where the market is wrong on EBK v Honka
EBK meet Honka in the Kakkonen - Lohko B group b - 18 at Keski-Espoon urheilukeskus, undefined.
Honka rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1400. Recent form leans Honka, 80% against 30%. Attacking output favors Honka on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Honka at 70%; double chance reads EBK or draw 47%, Honka or draw 77%.
EBK arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 9 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Honka, W 4-0 @ Musa, L 1-5 v EPS, L 1-2 @ GrIFK.
Honka are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ EBK, W 3-2 v P-Iirot, W 7-0 v NJS, L 2-3 @ EPS.
The market prices EBK at 10% implied. Our number sits apart on EBK: a 12.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output