Greece v Italy: the model read
Greece meet Italy in the Friendlies friendly international at Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Italy, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Italy on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Greece arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Italy, D 2-2 @ Sweden, D 0-0 @ Hungary, L 0-1 v Paraguay.
Italy are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Greece, W 1-0 @ Luxembourg, D 1-1 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, W 2-0 v Northern Ireland.
Italy hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Greece 0-1 Italy.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
