New Zealand New Zealand v Chile: the model read
New Zealand meet Chile in the FIFA Series group stage at Eden Park, Auckland.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors New Zealand on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
New Zealand arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.
Chile are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Congo DR, L 1-2 @ Portugal, L 1-4 @ New Zealand, W 4-2 v Cape Verde Islands.
New Zealand hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: New Zealand 4-1 Chile.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
