Where the market is wrong on Zenit Penza v FK Spartak Tambov
Zenit Penza meet FK Spartak Tambov in the Second League - Group 3 group 3 - 20.
FK Spartak Tambov rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans FK Spartak Tambov, 75% against 33%. Attacking output favors FK Spartak Tambov on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans FK Spartak Tambov at 76%; double chance reads Zenit Penza or draw 44%, FK Spartak Tambov or draw 83%.
Zenit Penza arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v FK Spartak Tambov, L 0-1 @ Avangard Kursk, L 0-2 v Volna Nizhegorodskaya, D 2-2 @ SKA Rostov.
FK Spartak Tambov are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ryazan, L 0-1 @ Zenit Penza, D 1-1 v Arsenal Tula II, D 1-1 v SKA Rostov.
FK Spartak Tambov hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zenit Penza 1-0 FK Spartak Tambov.
The market prices ZEN at 10% implied. Our number sits apart on Zenit Penza: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
