Ermis Exochi v Alexandreia: the model read
Ermis Exochi meet Alexandreia in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 winners stage - 5. The model makes Ermis Exochi the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% ERM, 29% draw, 30% ALE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ermis Exochi, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Ermis Exochi on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Ermis Exochi at 57%; double chance reads Ermis Exochi or draw 70%, Alexandreia or draw 60%.
Ermis Exochi arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Alexandreia, L 0-2 @ Apollon Pontou, D 2-2 v Veria, W 1-0 v Pierikos.
Alexandreia are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ermis Exochi, W 2-1 @ Pierikos, L 0-3 v Apollon Pontou, L 1-3 v Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou.
Ermis Exochi hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ermis Exochi 1-0 Alexandreia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output