Evosmou v Eordaikos: the model read
Evosmou meet Eordaikos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 losers stage - 5. The model makes Eordaikos the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 20% EVO, 29% draw, 50% EOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Eordaikos, 45% against 3%. Attacking output favors Eordaikos on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Eordaikos at 71%; double chance reads Evosmou or draw 50%, Eordaikos or draw 80%.
Evosmou arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Eordaikos, D 2-2 v Akrites Sykeon, L 0-2 @ Sarakinos, L 0-2 @ Asteras Kard..
Eordaikos are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Evosmou, D 0-0 v Sarakinos, D 0-0 @ Asteras Kard., W 1-0 @ Kozani.
Eordaikos hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Evosmou 0-3 Eordaikos.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
