Viking v Aalesund: the model read
Viking meet Aalesund in the NM Cupen quarter-finals at Lyse Arena, Stavanger. The model makes Viking the most likely outcome at 54%, with the full read 54% VIK, 24% draw, 21% AAL.
Viking rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1477. Recent form leans Viking, 78% against 48%. Attacking output favors Viking on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Viking at 72%; double chance reads Viking or draw 79%, Aalesund or draw 46%.
Viking arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Aalesund, W 2-1 @ Lillestrom, W 2-1 v Sandefjord, L 0-1 @ Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Aalesund are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Viking, L 1-6 @ Valerenga, D 2-2 v Molde, W 3-0 @ Kristiansund BK.
Viking hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aalesund 1-1 Viking.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
