Where the market is wrong on JDFS Alberts v Metta / LU
JDFS Alberts meet Metta / LU in the 1. Liga regular season - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1742, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Metta / LU, 83% against 70%. Attacking output favors Metta / LU on expected goals, 4.4 to 2.2 per match.
JDFS Alberts arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Valmiera / BSS, W 3-2 v Smiltene, W 2-0 @ Mārupe, W 3-1 @ Rīgas FS II.
Metta / LU are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 18 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 v JFK Ventspils, D 2-2 @ Valmiera / BSS, W 6-0 @ Smiltene, W 2-0 @ Rēzekne FA.
Metta / LU hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Metta / LU 4-1 JDFS Alberts.
The market prices JDF at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on JDFS Alberts: a 13.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
